Analysis of Factors Affecting Rice Imports in North Sumatera

North Sumatra is one of the provinces in Indonesia
as a rice producer, has a fairly good food security. However, as
the population continues to increase, it is accompanied by an
increase in the need for food, especially rice. The increasing need
for rice can lead to reduced availability and ultimately threatens
food security in the region. For this reason, an import policy is
needed to increase its availability. However, in reality, rice
imports were still carried out when statistical data showed that
North Sumatra was experiencing a rice surplus. This study aims
to determine what factors influence rice imports in North
Sumatra. The analysis method used is multiple linear regression
analysis with the Error Correction Model (ECM) model. Based
on the results of the study, it is concluded that partially the
variables of rice production, rice consumption and domestic rice
prices have a significant effect on rice imports in the long run.
Meanwhile, in the short term, only rice production and
consumption variables have a significant effect on rice imports.
together in the long run the variables of production,
consumption, price and exchange rate do not have a significant
effect on rice imports. On the other hand, in the short term all
the independent variables collectively have a significant effect on
rice imports in North Sumatra.