ANALISIS FAKTOR–FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI CADANGAN DEVISA DI INDONESIA

Purba, Nurlela (2016) ANALISIS FAKTOR–FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI CADANGAN DEVISA DI INDONESIA. Masters thesis, UNIMED.

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Abstract

Penelitian ini dilatar belakangi oleh kenyataan bahwa kurangnya cadangan devisa yang dimiliki oleh suatu negara diakibatkan karena lebih tingginya nilai impor dari pada nilai ekspor. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui dan menganalisis faktor–faktor Utang Luar Negeri, Foreign Direct Invesment, Ekspor, Kurs yang mempengaruhi cadangan devisa di Indonesia. Permasalahan pada penelitian ini dikarenakan adanya keterbatasan dana yang dimiliki untuk mencukupi kebutuhan cadangan devisa di Indonesia, oleh karena itu strategi untuk mengatasi keterbatasan tersebut melalui peningkatan investasi asing secara langsung yang bertujuan untuk meningkatkan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Dari permasalahan tersebut maka pada penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melihat seberapa besar pengaruh variabel bebas seperti Utang Luar Negeri, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), ekspor dan Kurs terhadap variabel terikat yaitu Cadangan Devisa. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data skunder data time series (data berkala) dalam periode pengamatan tahun 1996–2014 yang diperoleh dari Bank Indonesia dan Badan Pusat Statistik. Untuk mengidentifikasi pengaruh variabel-variabel yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini digunakan metode VAR (Vector Autoregression). Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan regresi persamaan menunjukkan bahwa kurs (-1) dan kurs (-2) memiliki pengaruh positif terhadap cadangan devisa, Variabel ekspor memiliki pengaruh yang negatif terhadap cadangan devisa yang artinya apabila terjadi peningkatan 1 US$ maka cadangan devisa meningkat masing-masing sebesar 0.186442 US$, dan 0.217593 US$, variabel FDI (-1) memiliki pengaruh yang positif terhadap cadangan devisa, namun FDI (-2) berpengaruh negatif terhadap cadangan devisa, variabel utang luar negeri (-1) memiliki pengaruh yang negatif terhadap cadangan devisa, namun utang luar negeri (-2) berpengaruh positif terhadap cadangan devisa.

Item Type: Thesis (Masters)
Contributors:
ContributionNameNIDN/NIDK
Thesis advisorAyu, Sri Fajar197008272008122001
Thesis advisorRuslan, Dede196507041990031002
Call Number: 332.455 98 Pur a
Keywords: Cadangan devisa; Ekspor; Utang luar negeri; Kurs; Valas
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HG Finance > HG3810 Foreign exchange. International finance. International monetary system
H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
H Social Sciences > HJ Public Finance
Divisions: Program Pasca Sarjana > Ilmu Ekonomi
Depositing User: Mrs Siti Nurbaidah
Date Deposited: 06 Jun 2016 07:42
URI: http://digilib.unimed.ac.id/id/eprint/5586

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