APLIKASI METODE SMOOTHING EKSPONENSIAL DALAM PERAMALAN PERSEDIAANENERGI LISTRIK (STUDI KASUS : PERSEDIAAN ENERGI LISTRIK OLEH PT. PLN (PERSERO) AREA MEDAN)

Situngkir, Licardo H (2018) APLIKASI METODE SMOOTHING EKSPONENSIAL DALAM PERAMALAN PERSEDIAANENERGI LISTRIK (STUDI KASUS : PERSEDIAAN ENERGI LISTRIK OLEH PT. PLN (PERSERO) AREA MEDAN). Undergraduate thesis, UNIMED.

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Abstract

Listrik sebagai salah satu sumber daya yang sangat penting dalam kehidupan manusia menjadi salah satu hal yang sangat diperhatikan. Hampir semua alat-alat kebutuhan manusia menggunakan tenaga listrik. Tujuan dari penelitian ini untuk mengetahui persediaan energi listrik yang terpakai dan melakukan peramalan untuk persediaan energi listrik yang akan terpakai di wilayah PT.PLN(Persero) Area Medan. Salah satu analisis deret waktu yang dipakai untuk menentukan peramalan adalah metode smoothing eksponensial ganda (metode linear satu parameter dari Brown). Data yang digunakan adalah data primer yang di ambil dari kantor cabang PT.PLN (Persero) Area Medan dengan kurun waktu Januari 2014 – Juli 2017. Langkah-langkah penelitian yang akan dilakukan adalah: Mengumpulkan data; Memplot data; Menentukan nilai smoothing eksponensial; Melakukan pemeriksaan ramalan; Menghasilkan ramalan yang akan datang; dan Membuat kesimpulan. Hasil penelitian peramalan menunjukkan bahwa peramalan persediaan energi listrik yang terpakai di wilayah PT.PLN (Persero) Area Medan untuk tahun 2018 adalah 5,84 % untuk golongan sosial, 5,08% untuk golongan rumah tangga, 5,38 % untuk golongan bisnis, 12,27% untuk golongan industri, 1,37 % untuk golongan pemerintahan.

Item Type: Thesis (Undergraduate)
Contributors:
ContributionNameNIDN/NIDK
Thesis advisorMansyur, Abil197209061999031002
Thesis advisorUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Call Number: 2018/MAT-076
Keywords: Metode Smoothing, Smoothing Eksponensial Ganda,Parameter dari Brown, Listrik, Rumah Tangga, Golongan Bisnis
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA299 Analysis
T Technology > TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering > TK301 Electric meters
T Technology > TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering > TK4001 Applications of electric power
Divisions: Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam > Matematika
Depositing User: Mr Maknun
Date Deposited: 21 May 2018 08:56
URI: http://digilib.unimed.ac.id/id/eprint/30396

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