PERAMALAN JUMLAH MAHASISWA PENDAFTAR JURUSAN MATEMATIKA MENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOMATIC CLUSTERING DAN RELASI LOGIKA FUZZY

Simangunsong, Romondang Meyria (2014) PERAMALAN JUMLAH MAHASISWA PENDAFTAR JURUSAN MATEMATIKA MENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOMATIC CLUSTERING DAN RELASI LOGIKA FUZZY. Undergraduate thesis, UNIMED.

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Abstract

Berbagai jenis model peramalan telah banyak dikembangkan untuk meningkatkan akurasi peramalan. Pada skripsi ini diterapkan metode automatic clustering dan relasi logika fuzzy untuk memprediksi jumlah pendaftar mahasiswa SPMB/SNMPTN tahun 2014 di Universitas Negeri Medan. Tujuan skripsi ini adalah untuk mendapatkan hasil prediksi jumlah mahasiswa pendaftar jurusan matematika Unimed melalui jalur SPMB/SNMPTN regular dengan metode automatic clustering dan relasi logika fuzzy. Hasil peramalan yang diperoleh kemudian dibandingkan dengan metode fuzzy time series. Hasil dari skripsi ini diharapkan bisa bermanfaat untuk memperkenalkan metode automatic clustering dan relasi logika fuzzy dalam menyelesaikan peramalan, sebagai referensi untuk pengembangan metode peramalan selanjutnya dan untuk mengetahui gambaran prediksi jumlah pendaftar SPMB/SNMPTN jurusan matematika Universitas Negeri Medan untuk tahun yang akan datang. Berdasarkan MSE dan rata-rata error dari masing-masing metode dapat disimpulkan bahwa metode peramalan masing-masing metode dapat disimpulkan bahwa metode peramalan dengan metode automatic clustering dan relasi logika fuzzy memiliki tingkat akurasi lebih tinggi daripada metode fuzzy time series sederhana .Jumlah pendaftar SPMB/SNMPTN regular jurusan non kependidikan matematika Unimed tahun 2014 dari hasil peramalan dengan metode automatik clustering dan logika fuzzy adalah sejumlah 949 pendaftar. Sedangkan dengan menggunakan metode fuzzy time series adalah 995 pendaftar.

Item Type: Thesis (Undergraduate)
Contributors:
ContributionNameNIDN/NIDK
Thesis advisorMulyono, 197112311999031010
Call Number: 513.22 Sim p
Keywords: Peramalam; Time Series; Himpunan Fuzzy; Fuzzy Time Series; LOgika Fuzzy
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics
Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA273 Probabilities. Mathematical statistics
Divisions: Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam > Matematika
Depositing User: Mrs Fitri Sry Juliati Sinaga
Date Deposited: 08 Apr 2016 08:34
URI: http://digilib.unimed.ac.id/id/eprint/11841

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