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UNIMED » Master Theses » Ilmu Ekonomi - S2
Posted by chizty_niez@yahoo.com at 24/06/2013 09:42:14  •  1662 Views


DAMPAK KEBIJAKAN FISKAL DAN MONETER DALAM PEREKONOMIAN INDONESIA (APLIKASI MODEL MUNDELL FLEMING)

The impact of fiscal and monetary policy in the economy of Indonesia (application model Mundell Fleming)

Created by :
Pardamean, Ada Tua ( 8106162001 )



SubjectECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
Alt. Subject Kebijakan fiskal
KeywordPendapatan nasional
Penerimaan pajak
Nilai tukar
Suku bunga
Kebijakan moneter
Ekspor

Description:

Terjadinya trade-off antara pencapaian stabilitas harga dan pertumbuhan ekonomi terutama dalam jangka pendek merupakan dampak dilematis dari pengambilan keputusan untuk melakukan kebijakan fiskal atau kebijakan moneter dalam perekonomian Indonesia. Permasalahan inilah yang melatarbelakangi penelitian ini dan ditujukan guna mengetahui dampak kebijakan fiskal dan moneter terhadap perekonomian Indonesia. Data yang digunakan adalah data sekunder yang bersumber dari Bank Indonesia dan Badan Pusat Statistik yakni variabel PDB, Pengeluaran Pemerintah, Penerimaan Pajak, Ekspor, Nilai Tukar, Jumlah Uang Beredar, Tingkat Bunga secara time series dari tahun 2000 sampai dengan 2012. Analisis data dilakukan dengan menggunakan metode Two Stage Least Squares (TSLS) dengan model estimasi regresi linear berganda menggunakan bantuan program Eviews 5.0. Hasil dari penelitian ini secara simultan dapat disimpulkan bahwa pada persamaan Model IS untuk variabel Suku Bunga berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap PDB indonesia, sedangkan variabel Pengeluaran Pemerintah (G0), Ekspor (X0) dan Penerimaan Pajak (Tx) serta Nilai Tukar (ER) berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap PDB Indonesia, sementara itu pada persamaan Model LM untuk variabel Jumlah Uang Beredar berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap peningkatan PDB Indonesia secara statistik pada tingkat  = 10% dan untuk variabel Suku Bunga tidak signifikan terhadap PDB Indonesia.


Alt. Description

The trade-off between achieving price stability and economic growth, especially in the short term is the impact of a decision-making dilemma for the conduct of fiscal policy or monetary policy in the Indonesian economy. The problem is what lies behind this study and aimed to determine the impact of fiscal and monetary policies on the Indonesian economy. The data used are secondary data sourced from Bank Indonesia and BPS variables namely GDP, Government Expenditure, Tax Revenue, Export, Exchange Rate, Money Supply, Interest Rates for time series from 2000 to 2012. Data analysis was performed using Two Stage Least Squares (TSLS) estimation with multiple linear regression models using Eviews 5.0 program assistance. The results of this study it can be concluded that the simultaneous equation model on IS to variable Interest Rate and a significant negative effect on GDP of Indonesia, while the Government Expenditure variable (G0), Export (X0) and Tax Revenue (Tx) and Exchange Rate (ER) effect positively and significantly to Indonesias GDP, while the equation for the LM model of the Money Supply variables significantly and negatively related to Indonesias GDP increased at a rate statistically  = 10% and for variable interest rate is not significantly to Indonesias GDP.

Contributor:
  1. Dr. Dede Ruslan, M.Si
  2. Dr. Muhammad Yusuf, M.Si
Date Create:08/03/2013
Type:Text
Format:PDF
Language:Indonesian
Identifier:UNIMED-Master-130061
Collection ID:130061
Call Number:339.520 959 8 Par d


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Ekspor , Kebijakan , Kebijakan moneter , Nilai , Nilai tukar , Pendapatan , Pendapatan nasional , Penerimaan , Penerimaan pajak , Suku , Suku bunga , bunga , moneter , nasional , pajak , tukar



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