ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI TINGKAT KEMISKINAN DI KABUPATEN SERDANG BEDAGAI

Humairo, Izzawati (2014) ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI TINGKAT KEMISKINAN DI KABUPATEN SERDANG BEDAGAI. Masters thesis, UNIMED.

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Abstract

Kemiskinan menjadi masalah di Kabupaten Serdang Bedagai. Tingkat kemiskinan di Kabupaten Serdang Bedagai pada tahun 2004-2013 masih mengalami fluktuatif. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menguji secara empiris pengaruh pertumbuhan ekonomi, tingkat pengangguran dan rata-rata lama pendidikan terhadap kemiskinan di Kabupaten Serdang Bedagai. Penelitian ini menggunakan data time series tahun 2004 semester 1 sampai dengan 2013 semester 2 dari BPS Sumatera Utara. Untuk analisis data menggunakan Metode OLS (Ordinary Least Square) dengan model estimasi regresi linier berganda yang didasarkan atas pengolahan data dengan menggunakan program software eviews 6. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan nilai R2 sebesar 0.70. ini berarti bahwa sebesar 70% proporsi variabel-variabel bebas yang digunakan mampu menjelaskan variasi variabel terikat dalam model tersebut, sedangkan sisanya sebesar 30% dijelaskan oleh variable lain yang tidak digunakan dalam penelitian ini. Semua variable bebas memiliki Pvalue lebih kecil dari 0.05. Ini berarti bahwa semua variable bebas yang digunakan dalam estimasi model analisis ini, yaitu pertumbuhan ekonomi, tingkat pengangguran dan rata-rata lama pendidikan bersama-sama berpengaruh secara signifikan terhadap kemiskinan di kabupaten Serdang Bedagai. Variabel pertumbuhan ekonomi signifikan berpengaruh negatif terhadap kemiskinan di kabupaten Serdang Bedagai, memiliki p-value sebesar 0.0017 dengan koefisien regresi sebesar -3.195 yang berarti setiap kenaikan 1 persen pertumbuhan ekonomi maka akan menurunkan 3.195% kemiskinan. Variabel tingkat pengangguran signifikan berpengaruh positif terhadap kemiskinan di kabupaten Serdang Bedagai memiliki p-value sebesar 0.001 dengan koefisien regresi 0.469 berarti apabila terjadi kenaikan 1 persen tingkat pengangguran maka akan meningkatkan 0.469% kemiskinan. Sementara variabel rata-rata lama pendidikan signifikan berpengaruh negatif terhadap kemiskinan di kabupaten Serdang Bedagai karena p-value sebesar 0.029 dengan koefisien regresi sebesar -6.383 berarti apabila tingkat pendidikan mengalami kenaikan sebesar 1 tahun, maka akan menurunkan tingkat kemiskinan sebesar 6.383%. Untuk mengurangi tingkat kemiskinan maka pemerintah harus meningkatkan pertumbuhan ekonomi dan taraf pendidikan sedangkan tingkat pengangguran harus ditekan agar terjadinya penurunan tingkat kemiskinan di Kabupaten Serdang Bedagai.

Item Type: Thesis (Masters)
Contributors:
ContributionNameNIDN/NIDK
Thesis advisorMaipita, Indra197104032003121003
Thesis advisorArwansyah, 196307121989031002
Call Number: 339.46 Hum a
Keywords: Pertumbuhan ekonomi; Pengangguran; Pendidikan; Kemiskinan
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HV Social pathology. Social and public welfare
Divisions: Program Pasca Sarjana > Ilmu Ekonomi
Depositing User: Mr Renaldi Syafaruddin Akbar
Date Deposited: 09 Apr 2016 08:13
URI: http://digilib.unimed.ac.id/id/eprint/4423

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