PEMODELAN POLA TANAM BERDASARKAN PREDIKSI CURAH HUJAN MENGGUNAKAN JARINGAN SYARAF TIRUAN BACKPROPAGATION (STUDI KASUS : DATA CURAH HUJAN BMKG KABUPATEN DELI SERDANG)

Yusardi, Wahyunita (2020) PEMODELAN POLA TANAM BERDASARKAN PREDIKSI CURAH HUJAN MENGGUNAKAN JARINGAN SYARAF TIRUAN BACKPROPAGATION (STUDI KASUS : DATA CURAH HUJAN BMKG KABUPATEN DELI SERDANG). Undergraduate thesis, UNIMED.

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Abstract

Hasil analisis data yang diketahui dari Badan Penelitian dan Pengembangan Pertanian bahwa pola tanam di Kabupaten Deli Serdang pada awalnya padi-padi dengan perubahan varietas, pola tanam tersebut berubah menjadi pola padi- padi-padi. Pola tanam padi terus-menerus selama beberapa waktu akhirnya menimbulkan masalah baru yaitu terjadinya ekplosif hama padi (wereng, tungro, ganjur) dan menyebabkan puso/gagal panen. Eksplosif hama padi inilah yang menjadi salah satu penyebab turunnya produktivitas pertanian di Kabupaten Deli Serdang. Tujuan Penelitian ini memberikan solusi alternatif untuk meningkatkan produksi pertanian di Kabupaten Deli Serdang dengan melakukan pemodelan pola tanam yang paling menguntungkan berdasarkan penempatan waktu tanam yang paling sesuai dengan kebutuhan curah hujan di Kabupaten Deli Serdang yang diprediksi dengan menggunakan Jaringan Syaraf Tiruan Backpropagation sehingga dapat dijadikan pedoman dalam pemanfaatan lahan pertanian di Kabupaten Deli Serdang. Model Backpropagation terbaik dalam penelitian ini yaitu 12-2-1 , learning rate 0.08 dan momentum 0.99 dengan MSE testing 0.0260. Berdasarkan kalender tanam dan model tanam yang diperoleh dari prediksi curah hujan menggunakan Backpropagation terbaik yang diperoleh maka model pola tanam yang dapat diterapkan di Kabupaten Deli Serdang berdasarkan curah hujan pada sawah tadah hujan yaitu palawija – palawija – padi, palawija – palawija – palawija, palawija – palawija – palawija, dan palawija – palawija – padi. Adapun jenis palawijanya ialah ubi jalar, jagung, kedelai dan kacang hijau.

Item Type: Thesis (Undergraduate)
Contributors:
ContributionNameNIDN/NIDK
Thesis advisorSimamora, Elmanam197211162006041001
Call Number: SK-2020 MAT 096
Keywords: Jaringan syaraf tiruan; Karakteristik tanaman; Pola tanam; Prediksi curah hujan; Peramalan; Time series; Backpropagation
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics
Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA273 Probabilities. Mathematical statistics
Divisions: Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam > Matematika
Depositing User: Mrs Harly Christy Siagian
Date Deposited: 01 Nov 2021 06:50
URI: http://digilib.unimed.ac.id/id/eprint/43578

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