ANALISIS INTERDEPENDENSI INSTRUMEN MONETER TERHADAP PERMINTAAN UANG KARTAL DI INDONESIA

Sebayang, Putri Suryani (2019) ANALISIS INTERDEPENDENSI INSTRUMEN MONETER TERHADAP PERMINTAAN UANG KARTAL DI INDONESIA. Masters thesis, UNIMED.

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Abstract

Uang diciptakan dalam perekonomian bertujuan untuk melancarkan kegiatan tukar-menukar dan perdagangan. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui seberapa keterkaitan antara variabel PDB, nilai tukar, suku bunga BI, tingkat inflasi terhadap permintaan uang kartal di Indonesia. Data yang digunakan dalam kajian empiris ini merupakan data runtutan waktu tahunan dari tahun 1987-2017 yang berasal dari Bank Indonesia dan Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS). Alat analisis yang digunakan yaitu Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan hasil impulse response function (IRF) periode jangka pendek (10 tahun), jangka menengah (20 tahun) dan jangka panjang (30 tahun) permintaan uang kartal (UKR) merespon positif terhadap shock variabel permintaan uang kartal (UKR) itu sendiri, nilai tukar (kurs), suku bunga BI (BI Rate) dan inflasi (INF). Sedangkan respon yang diberikan permintaan uang kartal (UKR) terhadap shock variabel PDB adalah negatif. Hasil variance decomposition (VD) variabel uang kartal (UKR) itu sendiri mengalami peningkatan dari jangka pendek ke jangka panjang. Variabel produk domestik bruto (PDB), nilai tukar (Kurs), suku bunga BI (BI Rate), inflasi (INF) mengalami penurunan kontribusi dari jangka pendek ke jangka menengah dan jangka panjang. Pada jangka panjang yang berkontribusi paling besar terhadap uang kartal (UKR) adalah variabel produk domestik bruto (PDB). Hal ini menunjukkan bahwa produk domestik bruto (PDB) merupakan salah satu indikator yang paling penting menentukan permintaan uang kartal di masa yang akan datang. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian dapat disimpulkan bahwa variabel makroekonomi memiliki keterkaitan masing-masing terhadap permintaan uang kartal di Indonesia baik jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang. Sehingga Bank Indonesia diharapkan dapat merespon dengan cepat permintaan uang yang diinginkan oleh masyarakat untuk tujuan transaksi/ investasi pada sektor riil untuk meningkatan pendapatan nasional (penciptaan lapangan pekerjaan)

Item Type: Thesis (Masters)
Contributors:
ContributionNameNIDN/NIDK
Thesis advisorFitrawaty, 197605112008012012
Thesis advisorRamadhana, M.Fitri197709142005011003
Call Number: 330.659 8 Seb a
Keywords: PDB, Nilai Tukar Rupiah, Suku Bunga BI, Inflasi, Permintaan Uang Vector Error Correction Model (VECM).
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HG Finance > HG1501 Banking
H Social Sciences > HG Finance > HG201 Money
H Social Sciences > HJ Public Finance > HJ2005 Income and expenditure. Budget
Divisions: Program Pasca Sarjana > Pendidikan Ekonomi
Depositing User: Mr Maknun
Date Deposited: 09 Sep 2019 03:18
URI: http://digilib.unimed.ac.id/id/eprint/35958

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