SITUNGKIR, LICARDO HANGOLUAN (2018) APLIKASI METODE SMOOTHING EKSPONENSIAL DALAM PERAMALAN PERSEDIAAN ENERGI LISTRIK (STUDI KASUS : PERSSEDIAAN ENERGI LISTRIK OLEH PT.PLN(PERSERO) AREA MEDAN). Undergraduate thesis, UNIMED.
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Abstract
Listrik sebagai salah satu sumber daya yang sangat penting dalam kehidupan manusia menjadi salah satu hal yang sangat diperhatikan. Hampir semua alat-alat kebutuhan manusia menggunakan tenaga listrik. Tujuan dari penelitian ini untuk mengetahui persediaan energi listrik yang terpakai dan melakukan peramalan untuk persediaan energi listrik yang akan terpakai di wilayah PT.PLN(Persero) Area Medan. Salah satu analisis deret waktu yang dipakai untuk menentukan peramalan adalah metode smoothing eksponensial ganda (metode linear satu parameter dari Brown). Data yang digunakan adalah data primer yang di ambil dari kantor cabang PT.PLN (Persero) Area Medan dengan kurun waktu Januari 2014 – Juli 2017. Langkah-langkah penelitian yang akan dilakukan adalah: Mengumpulkan data; Memplot data; Menentukan nilai smoothing eksponensial; Melakukan pemeriksaan ramalan; Menghasilkan ramalan yang akan datang; dan Membuat kesimpulan. Hasil penelitian peramalan menunjukkan bahwa peramalan persediaan energi listrik yang terpakai di wilayah PT.PLN (Persero) Area Medan untuk tahun 2018 adalah 5,84 % untuk golongan sosial, 5,08% untuk golongan rumah tangga, 5,38 % untuk golongan bisnis, 12,27% untuk golongan industri, 1,37 % untuk golongan pemerintahan.
Item Type: | Thesis (Undergraduate) | ||||||
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Contributors: |
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Call Number: | SK-2018 MAT 076 | ||||||
Keywords: | Metode Smoothing, Smoothing Eksponensial Ganda (Metode Linear Satu Parameter Dari Brown), Listrik, Golongan Sosial, Golongan Rumah Tangga, Golongan Bisnis, Golongan Industri, Golongan Pemerintahan. | ||||||
Subjects: | T Technology > T Technology (General) | ||||||
Divisions: | Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam > Matematika | ||||||
Depositing User: | Mr Renaldi Syafaruddin Akbar | ||||||
Date Deposited: | 19 Feb 2019 10:04 | ||||||
URI: | http://digilib.unimed.ac.id/id/eprint/31846 |
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