Putri, Kurni Novianty (2019) ANALISIS PENGARUH PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO DAN HARGA KOMODITAS PANGAN TERHADAP INFLASI DI INDONESIA. Masters thesis, UNIMED.
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Abstract
Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui bagaimana pengaruh produk domestik
bruto, harga beras, harga minyak goreng curah, harga gula pasir, harga cabai merah
keriting, dan harga daging ayam terhadap inflasi di Indonesia. Metode penelitian yang
digunakan adalah teknik regresi dengan analisis data Error Correction Model Domowitz
El-Badawi. Data bersifat skunder menggunakan time series dalam kurun waktu tahun
2008:Q1 sampai 2017:Q4. Data diolah menggunakan program E-views 7.0. Pada uji
stasioneritas diketahui semua variabel pengamatan stationer. Pada penentuan panjang lag
optimal menunjukkan criteria Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Schwarz Criterion
(SC) dan Human Quinn Criterion (HQ) dan dipilih nilai yang terkecil diantara lag yang
optimal nilai Schwarz Criterion (SC) pada lag 1. Hasil uji kointegrasi mengindikasikan
bahwa variabel tersebut dikatakan dalam kondisi keseimbangan jangka panjang, sehingga
hasil regresi adalah regresi yang terkointegrasi. Setelah melalui uji asumsi klasik, didapat
hasil bahwa data berdistribusi normal, terbebas dari autokorelasi, terbebas dari gejala
multikolinieritas, dan terbebas dari masalah heteroskedastisitas. Hasil penelitian yang
diperoleh adalah dalam jangka pendek pengaruh variabel-variabel produk domestik bruto,
harga beras kualitas medium, dan harga minyak goreng curah berpengaruh positif dan
signifikan terhadap inflasi di Indonesia. Variabel harga cabe merah keriting berpengaruh
positif dan tidak signifikan terhadap inflasi di Indonesia. Variabel harga gula pasir dan
harga daging ayam berpengaruh negatif dan tidak signifikan terhadap inflasi di Indonesia.
Ditemukan juga bahwa dalam jangka panjang, variabel produk domestik bruto
berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap inflasi di Indonesia. Variabel harga beras
kualitas medium, dan harga cabe merah keriting berpengaruh positif dan tidak signifikan
terhadap inflasi di Indonesia. Variabel harga minyak goreng curah, variabel harga gula
pasir, dan variabel harga daging ayam berpengaruh negatif dan tidak signifikan terhadap
inflasi di Indonesia
| Item Type: | Thesis (Masters) |
|---|---|
| Additional Information: | 339.5 Put a |
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Produk Domestik Bruto, Harga Komoditas Pangan, Inflasi, Error Correction Model Domowitz-El Badawi |
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HG Finance > HG201 Money H Social Sciences > HJ Public Finance > HJ2005 Income and expenditure. Budget H Social Sciences > HJ Public Finance > HJ9103 Local finance. Municipal finance H Social Sciences > HJ Public Finance > HJ9701 Public accounting. Auditing |
| Divisions: | Program Pasca Sarjana > Pendidikan Ekonomi |
| Depositing User: | Mr Maknun |
| Date Deposited: | 12 Feb 2019 10:08 |
| Last Modified: | 12 Feb 2019 10:08 |
| URI: | https://digilib.unimed.ac.id/id/eprint/31716 |
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