PERAMALAN JUMLAH DAYA TERPASANG MENURUT JENIS PELANGGAN DI PT.PLN(PERSERO) AREA MEDAN UNTUK TAHUN 2018

MANALU, SRIWATI (2017) PERAMALAN JUMLAH DAYA TERPASANG MENURUT JENIS PELANGGAN DI PT.PLN(PERSERO) AREA MEDAN UNTUK TAHUN 2018. Undergraduate thesis, UNIMED.

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Abstract

Peramalan (Forecasting) adalah suatu kegiatan untuk memperkirakan apa yang akan terjadi pada masa mendatang. Peramalan diperlukan karena adanya perbedaan waktu antara kesadaran akan dibutuhkan suatu kebijakan baru dengan waktu pelaksanaan kebijakan tersebut. Tujuan dari penulisan ini adalah untuk mener- apkan metode smoothing eksponensial linier ganda satu parameter dari Brown dalam mengetahui ramalan daya terpasang untuk masing-masing jenis pelanggan di PT.PLN (Persero) Area Medan untuk tahun 2018. Berdasarkan perhitungan yang sudah dilakukan besarnya daya terpasang untuk masing-masing jenis pelanggan untuk tahun 2018 mengalami peningkatan yaitu pelanggan sosial 8,73%, rumah tangga 5,55%, bisnis 3,97%, industri 2,49% dan pemerintah 1,55%. Dan nilai α yang menghasilkan nilai MSE paling kecil untuk masing-masing pelanggan ialah 0,47969 untuk sosial, 0,6069 untuk rumah tangga, 0,0669 untuk bisnis, 0,54708 untuk industri dan 0,65592 untuk pemerintah.

Item Type: Thesis (Undergraduate)
Contributors:
ContributionNameNIDN/NIDK
Thesis advisorMANSYUR, ABILUNSPECIFIED
Call Number: SK-2018 MAT 048
Keywords: PERAMALAN ;SMOOTHING EKSPONENSIAL;METODE BROWN
Divisions: Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam > Matematika
Depositing User: Mrs Yuni Chairani
Date Deposited: 26 Jan 2018 16:46
URI: http://digilib.unimed.ac.id/id/eprint/29023

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