PENGARUH JUMLAH PRODUKSI DAN PERMINTAAN TERHADAP EKSPOR KARET DI SUMATERA UTARA TAHUN 2006-2011

Simanjuntak, Erwin (2012) PENGARUH JUMLAH PRODUKSI DAN PERMINTAAN TERHADAP EKSPOR KARET DI SUMATERA UTARA TAHUN 2006-2011. Undergraduate thesis, UNIMED.

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Abstract

Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui dan memberikan bukti empiris mengenai pengaruh jumlah produksi dan permintaan dunia terhadap ekspor karet di Sumatera Utara. Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk periode 2006-2011. Jenis data yang dipakai adalah data sekunder. Data diperoleh dari Badan Pusat Statistik Wilayah Sumatera Utara. Data yang dianalisis dalam penelitian ini diolah dari jumlah produksi dan jumlah permintaan dunia serta nilai ekspor karet di Sumatera Utara. Data yang dikumpulkan dianalisis dengan menggunakan metode analisis data yang terlebih dahulu dilakukan pengujian Normalitas sebelum melakukan pengujian hipotesis. Pengujian hipotesis dalam penelitian ini menggunkan analisis jalur dengan model Y = PyX1 + PyX2 + . Dari hasil analisis data maka diperoleh model jalur Y = 0,556X1 + 0,527 X2 + 0,173 &#949;. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa pengaruh langsung variabel jumlah produksi terhadap ekspor sebesar 0,309 sedangkan pengaruh langsung variabel jumlah permintaan terhadap ekspor sebesar 0,278. Total pengaruh variabel jumlah produksi terhadap ekspor sebesar 0,5 atau 50% dan total pengaruh variabel jumlah produksi terhadap ekspor sebesar 0,469 atau 46,9%. Pengaruh langsung kedua variabel secara simultan sebesar 0,970 atau 97%. Dari hasil pengujian diketahui kontribusi pengaruh bebas terhadap variabel terikat digunakan koefesien determinasi dengan hasil 97%. Hal ini menunjukkan bahwa pengaruh jumlah produksi dan jumlah permintaan terhadap ekspor karet di Suamtera Utara sebesar 97%. Hasil penelitian ini juga menunjukkan bahwa secara parsial jumlah produksi dan permintaan berpengaruh positif terhadap ekspor karet di Sumatera Utara. Pengaruh ini terlihat dari hasil pengujian hipotesis yang dilakukan dengan menggunakan uji t yang menunjukkan nilai signifikan atas jumlah produksi sebesar 0,025 < 0.05 sehingga hipotesis pertama menyatakan bahwa jumlah produksi berpengaruh positif dan signifikan dapat diterima, Untuk jumlah permintaan sebesar 0,028 < 0,05 sehingga hipotesis kedua yang menyatakan bahwa jumlah permintaan berpengaruh positif dan signifikan dapat diterima. Sehingga yang paling dominan mempengaruhi ekspor karet di Sumatera Utara adalah variabel jumlah produksi. Maka dapat ditarik kesimpulan bahwa jumlah produksi dan permintaan secara bersama-sama berpengaruh positif terhadap ekspor karet di Sumatera Utara.

Item Type: Thesis (Undergraduate)
Contributors:
ContributionNameNIDN/NIDK
Thesis advisorSagala, Edison196102031986011001
Call Number: 658 Sim p
Keywords: Jumlah Produksi; Jumlah Permintaan Dunia; Total Ekspor
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HF Commerce > HF5001 Business > HF5410 Marketing. Distribution of products
T Technology > TS Manufactures > TS155 Production management. Operations management
Divisions: Fakultas Ekonomi > Manajemen
Depositing User: Mrs Elsya Fitri Utami
Date Deposited: 21 Aug 2016 08:21
URI: http://digilib.unimed.ac.id/id/eprint/12828

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